Posts Tagged ‘bracketology’

In Search of 68, Selection Sunday Style!

As you can see, I don’t think the Ohio State-Penn State game means too much seed-wise. I think the Nittany Lions are in regardless of the outcome, and thus I can present, hours earlier than usual, the final bracket!

NEWARK SAN ANTONIO NEW ORLEANS ANAHEIM
1 Ohio State Kansas Pittsburgh Duke
2 Notre Dame Connecticut UNC San Diego State
3 Florida Texas Louisville Syracuse
4 Kentucky Wisconsin Purdue BYU
5 Saint John’s West Virginia Texas A&M Arizona
6 Cincinnati Vanderbilt Kansas State Xavier
7 Temple UNLV UCLA Georgetown
8 George Mason Washington Old Dominion Missouri
9 Florida State Tennessee Gonzaga Marquette
10 Michigan Michigan State Richmond Utah State
11 Saint Mary’s Clemson Villanova Illinois
12 Butler Colorado v. Penn State Virginia Tech v. Georgia Belmont
13 Princeton Morehead State Memphis Oakland
14 Wofford Indiana State Long Island Akron
15 Saint Peter’s Boston Univ. Bucknell Northern Colorado
16 Hampton v. Alabama State UC-Santa Barbara UT-San Antonio v. Arkansas-Little Rock UNC-Asheville

Last Five In: Illinois, Colorado, Virginia Tech, Penn State, Georgia

Last Five Out: Alabama, USC, UAB, Harvard, Missouri State Continue reading

Tim’s Friday Picks

Three-for-four. Three-for-four. Man, I churn out three-for-four nights like a Little League All-Star. Of course, I knew I was going to get ONE game wrong last night; I didn’t know which. It turned out to be the game I was most confident in with my pick, as Syracuse (my national champion) looked listless early and panicked late. A disappointing showing by the Orange, although it keeps alive the Butler storyline, which I’ve been harping all year.

So again, with a 39-13 record in this Tournament, you know I’ve got three of these right. But which one isn’t?

5. Michigan State vs.  9. Northern Iowa

Original: Kansas over Maryland

What I’ve Learned: I was pretty confident that KU would lose eventually and that when it did, it would likely be because Sherron Collins tried to do too much. Of course, I didn’t think it would happen in the second round, and even then, I had UNLV in the second round. But to say that Northern Iowa’s win over the Jayhawks is one of the biggest upsets in Tournament history ignores the fact that the Panthers are a very good team that has lost only four times all season—and one of those was without Jordan Eglseder. UNI is like Cornell in that it can beat you inside and out on the offensive end; the Panthers, however, are one of the nation’s best defensive teams and capable of forcing any team into playing their tempo.

Michigan State’s win over Maryland—without Kalin Lucas and Chris Allen—only proved Tom Izzo’s coaching wizardry once more. The Spartans had no business winning that game, but they did. There are two reasons to pick State in this one: Izzo and the idea that UNI might be overwhelmed by the media attention in the last week. There are more reasons, however, to pick the Panthers: Their win over Kansas wasn’t as big a fluke as portrayed and their defense will certainly dictate tempo to a team playing without its point guard and leader.

The Pick: Northern Iowa Continue reading

Tim’s Sunday Picks

I went 6-2 yesterday to extend my Tourney record to 30-10, although to be fair, two of my correct picks on Saturday were teams I had losing in the first round (Saint Mary’s and Washington). But 28-12 ain’t bad either, right?

1. Syracuse vs. 8. Gonzaga

Original: Syracuse over Gonzaga

What I’ve Learned: I thought it would be a close game originally, and I still do. Gonzaga should exploit the high post with Elias Harris, Bobby Sacre, and even Matt Bouldin. That said, I expect the Orange to shoot very well against an iffy Bulldogs’ defense and make the necessary adjustments on defense themselves. It’s been a long time since Gonzaga beat a good team. It will be several more months before it does.

The Pick: Syracuse Continue reading

Tim’s Saturday Picks

When you compare my second-round picks to John’s, you’ll notice a small but significant change in diction; namely, he uses “New Pick” whereas I use “The Pick.” This is because I had my most successful first round I can remember, going 24-8 and losing only two Sweet 16 teams. My hunches on Old Dominion, Cornell, and Murray State (and even on Wisconsin struggling but surviving) all played out to plan. Even my vindictive decision to knock out Georgetown in the second round has paid off.

What does this mean? Well, basically that what you’re about to read is going to be all wrong. Everything I based my first-round picks on will destruct in the second round. BYU will not be able to make a jump shot or its free throws, Cornell will forget to go inside to Jeff Foote, and Butler’s crisp execution will be enough to trump UTEP’s athleticism but not Murray State’s. If the Tournament were a game of poker, I’d be trying to buy out now.

But at 24-8, I’m pot-committed.

2. Villanova vs. 10. Saint Mary’s

Original: Richmond over Villanova

What I’ve Learned: If you made a list of the three most impressive first-round teams, the Gaels would have to be on it (behind Ohio and Cornell). Omar Samhan was dominant (and I mean dominant) in limited minutes, and Saint Mary’s surrounded him with four dead-eye shooters. The Wildcats were taken to the brink by a Robert Morris squad that didn’t even have it’s A game and saved by what could best be described as dubious officiating. The Gaels have played two excellent games against solid competition back-to-back; Villanova hasn’t played one in over a month. Tough to turn it on now.

The Pick: Saint Mary’s Continue reading

In Search of 65, Selection Sunday

MIDWEST EAST SOUTH WEST
1 Kansas Kentucky Syracuse Duke
2 Georgetown Kansas State Ohio State West Virginia
3 New Mexico Villanova Baylor Purdue
4 Vanderbilt Maryland Temple Pittsburgh
5 Wisconsin Texas A&M Tennessee Michigan State
6 Gonzaga Xavier Butler BYU
7 Richmond Northern Iowa Marquette Texas
8 Louisville Saint Mary’s Oklahoma State UNLV
9 Georgia Tech Notre Dame Clemson Missouri
10 Virginia Tech Florida State UTEP Old Dominion
11 San Diego State Washington Wake Forest California
12 Siena Minnesota Murray State Utah State
13 Oakland Wofford New Mexico State Cornell
14 Houston Ohio Sam Houston State UCSB
15 North Texas Montana Vermont Morgan State
16 East Tennessee State Lehigh Winthrop v. UAPB Robert Morris

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In Search of 65, Week 5

MIDWEST SOUTH EAST WEST
1 Kansas Syracuse Kentucky Duke
2 Pittsburgh Ohio State West Virginia Purdue
3 New Mexico Kansas State Baylor Villanova
4 Wisconsin Maryland Michigan State Temple
5 Vanderbilt Texas A&M Georgetown Tennessee
6 Gonzaga Butler Xavier BYU
7 Richmond Wake Forest Northern Iowa Texas
8 Louisville UNLV Oklahoma State Missouri
9 Florida State Florida Clemson Marquette
10 Virginia Tech UTEP Utah State Saint Mary’s
11 California Notre Dame Georgia Tech Mississippi
12 San Diego State Old Dominion Siena Arizona State
13 Memphis Murray State Kent State Cornell
14 Weber State Wofford Sam Houston State Oakland
15 Vermont Lehigh Morgan State UC-Santa Barbara
16 Troy v. Winthrop
Jackson State East Tennessee State Quinnipiac

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In Search of 65, Week 4

MIDWEST SOUTH WEST EAST
1 Kansas Kentucky Syracuse Duke
2 Pittsburgh Villanova Kansas State Purdue
3 Ohio State New Mexico Vanderbilt West Virginia
4 Wisconsin Michigan State Temple Georgetown
5 Tennessee Texas A&M Baylor Butler
6 Texas Maryland BYU Gonzaga
7 Xavier Missouri Wake Forest UNLV
8 Northern Iowa Marquette Florida Richmond
9 Louisville Clemson UAB Oklahoma State
10 Florida State California Connecticut Georgia Tech
11 Utah State Illinois Rhode Island Mississippi State
12 Siena UTEP Old Dominion Saint Mary’s
13 Kent State Cornell Murray State Northeastern
14 Sam Houston State Oakland Charleston Western Kentucky
15 Morgan State Coastal Carolina Weber State Pacific
16 Lehigh v. Jackson State Belmont Vermont Robert Morris

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